Friday, 18 July 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0730-1.0780

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4540-1.4590

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8370-1.8420

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as the financial markets weigh the situation surrounding the shooting down of the Malaysian Jet liner yesterday by the Russian separatists in Ukraine. I read a report this morning that the latest sanctions that the West has put on the Russian financial system for supporting the separatists will be big enough to push the Russian economy into recession, the whole region could turn into a global powder keg.

For the moment the US Dollar is still trading in narrow ranges, Gold and other precious metals have moved the most in reaction to this crisis as the price for an ounce of gold has dropped the most of all the commodities.

The Canadian Dollar has not reacted to the developing situation in Ukraine and continue to trade within tight ranges at current levels, I am convinced that any kind of escalation in the region will push USD.CAD higher.

Up today we get some important Canadian inflation data, we are expecting a year-over-year June inflation rate of 2.3% which will be slightly higher than the Bank of Canada target rate. A very strong number will be positive for the Loonie and will push USD.CAD lower as the expectation will increase that the Bank will have to adjust interest rates to stem inflation, if the rate comes in much lower than expected just the opposite will happen. Our overall view is still intact that USD.CAD will eventually test higher but daily trading ranges will remain narrow.
 

Have a great weekend
Mike

  
GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0746 1.0752
CAD/USD 0.9306 0.93
EUR/USD 1.352 1.3527
EUR/CAD 1.4531 1.711
STG/CAD 1.8376 1.8401
AUD/CAD 1.0085 1.0076
CAD/JPY 94.29 94.32
CAD/CHF 0.8355 0.8347
CAD/HKD 7.1916 7.1866
CAD/CNY 5.7759 5.7687
CAD/MXN 12.0895 12.0628
Commodities
Gold $1,312.00 $1,303.00
OIL $103.50 $102.27
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.5 80.56
OPEN 80.53 80.53
US 10YR YIELD 2.48% 2.51%
 

 


 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment