Friday, 25 May 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, May 25th, 2012


Good Morning,



Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0220 – 1.0295

 Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.2850 – 1.2950

 Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.6025 – 1.6150


The FX markets seem to be stuck in a sideways range as long USD positions are reluctant to
cover with the expectations of a messy Greek exit from the Euro. The EUR/USD once again
flirted with its recent 22 month low only to bounce back, but the rallies are limited.
Pressure seems to be mounting for the European Central Bank to be more pro-active
and provide stimulus to the Euro-zone.  The U.S.  holiday weekend could still prompt
some unwinding of long U.S. Dollar positions.  The Canadian dollar remains stuck on
 the 1.0200 handle and should remain lackluster given the lack of economic releases today
 in North America. The only release due out today is the U.S. U of Michigan confidence
survey at 9:55am. The stock markets were uneventful overnight and the Dow futures are
oscillating around the flat line. Both oil and gold edged slightly higher overnight.
Yesterday there was some talk that the Swiss National Bank might look to raise the floor
on EUR/CHF which is pegged at 1.2000 with the actual price at 1.2025. Should the SNB
 act it would certainly prompt some short Euro covering.


Have a great weekend!

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Friday May 25, 2012
Currencies
7:00am Today's Opening
Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD
1.0252
1.0236
CAD/USD
0.9754
0.9769
EUR/USD
1.2578
1.2579
EUR/CAD
1.2897
1.2879
STG/CAD
1.6074
1.6048
AUD/CAD
1.0037
1.0015
CAD/JPY
77.53
77.51
CAD/CHF
0.9312
0.9321
CAD/HKD
7.5626
7.583
CAD/CNY
6.185
6.1951
CAD/MXN
13.6423
13.6173
Commodities
Gold
$1,563
$1,566
OIL
$91.05
$90.96
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N
10.63%
15.03%
1 Week
10.39%
11.28%
1 Month
11.13%
11.50%


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