Tuesday, 8 May 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary May 8th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9925-1.0025

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2970-1.3000

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6070-1.6200

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as the world's currency markets await the news of the political parties in Greece forming a new Government and if that Government will be either pro austerity or want to pull Greece out of the union, until this situation gets resolved markets will be very nervous.

Tensions between France and Germany continue to increase as the battle over austerity vs. stimulus will now heat up, I will be very surprised if these two leaders get along at all, not a very pretty picture and the Euro should remain under pressure for a while.

Sterling is a little weaker this morning as well, in the UK a report showed that home prices fell again showing no signs of a recovery in the UK housing markets.

The Canadian dollar is really quite resilient against the US Dollar at the moment but it is ever so slowly moving back towards parity, with the current situation in Europe I would expect USD.CAD to move higher in the coming days. The Canadian market should remain fairly quiet ahead of the release of the Canadian jobs report on Friday.

For today with equity markets pointing a lot lower I think you should see USD.CAD test a bit higher but until the Greek situation is resolved I think you will see narrow trading ranges for USD.CAD. For buyers of Euro and Sterling you should see better opportunities in the coming days especially if we get an anti-austerity coalition government in Greece.

Have a great day
Mike



GFX Morning Currency Rates
Tuesday, May 08 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9976 0.9952
CAD/USD 1.0024 1.0048
EUR/USD 1.3022 1.3036
EUR/CAD 1.2994 1.2976
STG/CAD 1.6105 1.6092
AUD/CAD 1.011 1.0143
CAD/JPY 79.86 80.17
CAD/CHF 0.924 0.9253
CAD/HKD 7.7782 7.7975
CAD/CNY 6.3205 6.3347
CAD/MXN 13.27 13.2649
Commodities
Gold $1,627 $1,641
OIL $96.79 $98.00
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 11.43% 10.22%
1 Week 8.69% 9.17%
1 Month 8.55% 8.91%

Today's Economic Calendar

CANADA
Housing Starts for April (08:15am)

USA

None



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