Tuesday, 12 August 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0925-1.0975

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against  the Euro is 1.4600-1.4650

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8360-1.1.8410

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning against the Euro and Sterling, with the lack of key economic reports being released this week geo-political worries are starting to influence the currency markets. This morning there are reports that a 300 truck convoy is headed to Ukraine from Moscow which the Russians are saying contains humanitarian aid, I would guess not many world leaders believe that. The Euro is also lower on a very poor German ZEW business survey that came in much weaker than expected, if the German business market starts to get worried about the overall health of the EU economy then we will see the Euro take a big hit.

The Canadian Dollar is slightly weaker against the Greenback this morning in very light overnight trading conditions, from looking at it the Loonie had a bigger trading range in the Asian market than it did in London time. The Loonie did extend a bit of a rally yesterday as our housing data was better than expected but like most rallies these days it was not able to extend into a significant gain. It just highlights my theory that US Dollar buyers need to be ready to jump any time we see US Dollar weakness, the overall trend is still for the US Dollar to move higher.

With no economic releases expected today I think we will have a narrow trading range and the market should be quiet. US Dollar buyers should have their orders in around the 1.0925 level to try and grab some US on any further pullback

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0944 1.0963
CAD/USD 0.9137 0.9121
EUR/USD 1.3338 1.3389
EUR/CAD 1.4598 1.468
STG/CAD 1.837 1.8397
AUD/CAD 1.0135 1.0156
CAD/JPY 93.46 93.13
CAD/CHF 0.8314 0.8267
CAD/HKD 7.0608 7.0488
CAD/CNY 5.6243 5.6125
CAD/MXN 12.0883 12.1014
Commodities
Gold $1,312.00 $1,309.00
OIL $97.25 $97.72
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.45 81.46
OPEN 81.66 81.4
US 10YR YIELD 2.43% 2.43%

 

 


 

 

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