Tuesday 6 March 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, March 6th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the US Dollar is .9920 – 1.0020.

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro  is 1.3120-1.3220

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.5750-1.5875

The US Dollar is considerably stronger this morning as equity markets continue to decline on concerns about global growth slowing and in particular concerns about the world's economic engine China slowing. In addition this morning the Euro was once again sold off as the 4th quarter Euro-Zone GDP numbers showed a decline in growth of 0.3%, further evidence that the overall European economy is in a mild recession. When you combine this with the improving numbers out of the States it is no wonder that the Greenback is seen as doing better over the medium term at the expense of the Euro.

I have not talked much about Sterling lately as it has been relatively stable but it too is weaker this morning as they too reported poor economic numbers leading investors to the realization that the Bank of England may but in another round of Quantative easing into the economy this week, Sterling should continue to trade with a weak bias for the foreseeable future.

With the renewed vigor of the US Dollar it did not take the Canadian Dollar long to give up its recent bout of strength and once again we are back near parity this morning, the Loonie is back to being dragged back and forth by movements in the equity markets and less by Canadian fundamentals, I will be very interested to see what the Bank of Canada says this week about all the developments in the Global economy since they last reported and what effect they are having on the Canadian economy.

It is going to be a very bad day on Wall and Bay streets with the Dow Jones futures pointing down almost 100 on the opening so in reality we should see USD.CAD move above 1.0000 at some point this morning. There are no economic reports due out from North American today so US Dollar buyers need to look at .9950 as a good short-term buying opportunity and US dollar sellers should get a chance today to sell above par but I would not expect a big jump above par until possibly later in the week, it all depends on the Bank of Canada and the Employment reports on Friday

Have a great day
Mike

GFX FOREIGN EXCHANGE MORNING UPDATE
Tuesday, March-06-12
Market Indicators                   * For current market prices please contact our currency advisors or visit our
                                                  on line site at www.gfxpartners.ca *


Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9993 0.9955
CAD/USD 1.0007 1.0045
EUR/USD 1.3133 1.3186
EUR/CAD 1.3126 1.3128
STG/CAD 1.5761 1.575
AUD/CAD 1.0585 1.0627
CAD/JPY 81.03 81.6
CAD/CHF 0.9181 0.9189
CAD/HKD 7.7662 7.7969
CAD/CNY 6.309 6.3315
Commodities
Gold $1,687 $1,698
OIL $106.11 $106.15
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 11.84% 11.72%
1 Week 9.16% 8.98%
1 Month 8.83% 8.57%

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