Thursday 4 July 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary July 4th, 2013

Good Morning and a very Happy 4th of July to all our American readers,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0490-1.0570

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3670-1.3750

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5870-1.5950

The US Dollar is marginally stronger with the exception being against Sterling where it just had a huge rally. This morning the Bank of England announced that they would keep interest rates at 0.5% and did not make any changes to the Stimulus program. More importantly they made the statement that the economy did not warrant any rate increases in the near future, GBP.USD immediately fell over 100 points in about 20 seconds on the announcement as it spooked investors. Later this morning we also get the European Central Bank announcing on interest rates later this morning and with the USA closed we may see some wild swings just like we did with Sterling.

The Canadian Dollar gave back the gains it made yesterday and it continues to trade back and forth in recent ranges. Just to highlight my point from yesterday about the Loonie not being overly dependent on the price of oil, oil jumped to $101 a barrel and the Loonie was weaker throughout the night. As I said yesterday there are too many factors at play for the Loonie to be solely dependent on the price of oil.

With the US being closed today we normally would have a very narrow trading range but if the ECB surprises this morning and if Toronto Equities are busy then we may see some enhanced volatility this morning. The afternoon will be quiet as currency traders get ready for the US and Canadian employment reports tomorrow.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.053 1.0537
CAD/USD 0.9497 0.949
EUR/USD 1.3004 1.2962
EUR/CAD 1.3698 1.366
STG/CAD 1.5994 1.6076
AUD/CAD 0.9615 0.9574
CAD/JPY 94.66 94.53
CAD/CHF 0.9008 0.9005
CAD/HKD 7.3424 7.334
CAD/CNY 5.821 5.8189
CAD/MXN 12.2501
Commodities
Gold $1,250 $1,248
OIL $101 $100.90
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 83.65
OPEN 83.56 83.65

 

 

 

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