Monday 28 May 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, May 28th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0210 – 1.0275

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.2825 – 1.2925

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.6025 – 1.6125

GREEK POLLS SHOWING SUPPORT FOR PRO BAILOUT PARTIES
Risk aversion has faded on the latest polls out of Greece showing support for the pro-bailout parties.
The U.S. Dollar has pulled back especially against the commodity based currencies which were hardest
hit over the last few trading sessions. The U.S. markets are closed today for the Memorial Day holiday
so trading will be very thin once the London markets are closed. The sentiment hasn’t changed regarding the
Euro-zone as much uncertainty persists, especially the financial woes in Spain.
Also helping the commodity based currencies is that China may be looking at providing stimulus, helping
both oil and gold post marginal gains.
In the short term for the EUR/USD 1.2500 seems to be the support line with a close below this level signaling
further downside. On Friday we tested EUR/USD at 1.2500 with no follow through as we were very close to the Peg in
EUR/CHF at 1.2000 which the Swiss National Bank must defend by buying Euros.
Have a great day!

Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Monday May 28, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0226 1.0252
CAD/USD 0.9779 0.9754
EUR/USD 1.2588 1.2578
EUR/CAD 1.2874 1.2897
STG/CAD 1.6057 1.6074
AUD/CAD 1.0163 1.0037
CAD/JPY 77.57 77.53
CAD/CHF 0.9337 0.9312
CAD/HKD 7.5881 7.5626
CAD/CNY 6.2013 6.185
CAD/MXN 13.6423
Commodities
Gold $1,577 $1,563
OIL $91.76 $91.05
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 12.30% 10.63%
1 Week 10.17% 10.39%
1 Month 11.00% 11.13%

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