Thursday 31 May 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, May 31st, 2012


Good Morning,

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0210 – 1.0310.

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.2730-1.2850

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.5910-1.6025


The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as the European equity markets and the Euro were able to pull back some strength on positive economic news coming out of Europe. In Switzerland the GDP reported much better than expected growth numbers, The UK reported much better than expected, Ireland in a nationwide referendum is expected to pass the EU Fiscal treaty today and finally Germany reported better than expected unemployment numbers. Overall a great night for Europe and the Euro as it rose to trade back above 1.2500 against the Greenback but unfortunately it does not get rid of the Spanish and Greek problems so I am not sure just how far the Euro can rally at the moment.

The Canadian dollar was able to pull back a little strength against the US dollar last but is still trading in narrow overnight ranges, with the strength in the Euro and Sterling overnight the Loonie did lose a bit of ground to those currencies but is still at long-term highs against both of them making them attractive buys at the moment.
Trading today will be dominated by the US GDP report where we are expecting an annualized growth rate of 1.9%, anything higher than that should give equity markets a boost and the US dollar should fall back a bit, if it is worse than expectation I think we should see USD.CAD break above 1.0300. The market will then set up for tomorrow’s release of the US employment report.

Have a great day
Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Thursday May 31, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0272 1.0288
CAD/USD 0.9735 0.972
EUR/USD 1.2403 1.243
EUR/CAD 1.2742 1.2789
STG/CAD 1.5928 1.6029
AUD/CAD 1.0004 1.0037
CAD/JPY 76.67 76.81
CAD/CHF 0.9421 0.9383
CAD/HKD 7.5526 7.5412
CAD/CNY 6.1968 6.176
CAD/MXN 14.1209 13.6153
Commodities
Gold $1,564 $1,547
OIL $88.03 $89.06
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 14.36% 13.26%
1 Week 10.71% 10.68%
1 Month 11.20% 11.05%

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