Wednesday 1 August 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary August 1st, 2012

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9975-1.0050

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2310-1.2400

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5640-1.5750

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as global investors around the world await the announcements from the US Federal Reserve (today at 2:15pm) and the European Central Bank (tomorrow at 08:30am). There is growing expectation that they will have to announce concrete action to support their economies as the evidence of a global slowdown continues to mount. Overnight reports showed that the Chinese PMI Manufacturing fell the most in 8 months and in the UK a report showed manufacturing shrank the most in the last three years, not a pretty picture being painted at the moment.

The Canadian dollar had another quiet session as it struggles to break parity, yesterday's Canadian GDP report was a little below the expectation, with global growth falling it won't be long before our growth rate in Canada is affected as well.

Trading today will of course be dominated by the Federal Reserve announcement, ahead of that I think USD.CAD will take a good run at par as the North American equity markets are going to open higher. If the Federal Reserve disappoints today look for equities to nose dive and USD.CAD to jump higher, if equity markets like their stimulus package then USD.CAD could easily be at .9975.

I will send out a currency alert later today with an update.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Wednesday August 01, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.001 1.001
CAD/USD 0.999 0.999
EUR/USD 1.231 1.2283
EUR/CAD 1.2323 1.2296
STG/CAD 1.5645 1.57
AUD/CAD 1.0536 1.0534
CAD/JPY 78.03 78.08
CAD/CHF 0.974 0.9763
CAD/HKD 7.74 7.7393
CAD/CNY 6.3603 6.3515
CAD/MXN 13.2833 13.2285
Commodities
Gold $1,614 $1,624
OIL $88.25 $90.01
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 14.23% 11.62%
1 Week 9.38% 8.69%
1 Month 8.30% 8.02%



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