Tuesday 20 November 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary Nov 20th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar .9920-1.0000

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2730-1.2800

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5840-1.5920

The US Dollar is unchanged from the Toronto close after trading a bit stronger during the night. During the overnight session Moody’s downgraded the sovereign debt of France to Aa1 from Aaa, Euro traded weaker on this announcement but only slightly as this move was not totally unexpected and just catches up to what Standard and Poors did a few weeks back. Also in Europe the EU finance ministers are meeting to discuss the Greek situation and the freeing up of money to the troubled nation. I don’t expect any surprises from this meeting, even if they don’t release the funds today I am sure there will be positive statements regarding the progress Greece is making.

The Canadian Dollar had a narrow trading range last night but continues to hold onto its recent strength, we do get some housing data out of the US and trade data out of Canada today but for the most part I don’t expect these numbers to have much of an impact on today’s trading. With North American Equities pointing slightly higher to start the day  I would not be surprised if USD.CAD fell to trade below the .9950 but I would not look for a huge trading range. Again if I was a US buyer I would be looking to put some forward trades on at these levels, with all the uncertainty in the market it would not take all that much for USD.CAD to jump back above par.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9962 0.9983
CAD/USD 1.0038 1.0017
EUR/USD 1.2814 1.2774
EUR/CAD 1.2757 1.2754
STG/CAD 1.5856 1.5882
AUD/CAD 1.0343 1.0377
CAD/JPY 81.83 81.02
CAD/CHF 0.9417 0.9444
CAD/HKD 7.7853 7.7431
CAD/CNY 6.2621 6.2407
CAD/MXN 13.11 13.11
Commodities
Gold $1,783.00 $1,724
OIL $89.11 $88.00
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 7.31% 7.38%
1 Week 5.01% 5.29%
1 Month 5.64% 5.88%

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