Wednesday 23 January 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary January 23rd, 2013

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9875-.9975

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3200-1.3275

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5700-1.5775

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning in muted overnight trading with the Japanese Yen once again dominating the currency markets. In my years of experience I have always found that when currency markets are focused on activities in Japan other currency trading tends to take a back seat.

Sterling is a bit stronger today on the back of better than expected employment data, it appears that the UK employment picture is remaining steady despite a slowing economy.

The Canadian Dollar continues to trade in narrow ranges but the Loonie is ever so slowly starting to recover the strength that it lost on Friday. This may all change today as we await the interest rate policy and monetary policy announcements from the Bank of Canada. With virtually no chance of a change to the present interest rate policy currency traders will focus on the Bank's view of the economy as  most economists will be expecting a more downbeat expectation for Canadian growth, a very poor report may be enough to push USD.CAD back towards parity. If the report is more upbeat and the Bank mentions "removing stimulus" (increasing interest rates) then we will see USD.CAD back towards the  .9850 level very quickly. I will send out a currency alert shortly after the announcement.

Have a great day
Mike
GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9916 0.9918
CAD/USD 1.0094 1.0092
EUR/USD 1.3337 1.335
EUR/CAD 1.3227 1.3243
STG/CAD 1.5718 1.5744
AUD/CAD 1.0467 1.0486
CAD/JPY 89.1 89.47
CAD/CHF 0.9358 0.9363
CAD/HKD 7.7973 7.7455
CAD/CNY 6.2685 6.2676
CAD/MXN 12.767 12.7711
Commodities
Gold $1,692 $1,691
OIL $96.71 $95.51
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 7.60% 7.58%
1 Week 6.12% 6.15%
1 Month 5.85% 5.84%

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