Monday 10 June 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary June 10th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0150-1.0240

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3430-1.3500

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5800-1.5875

The US Dollar is unchanged from our Friday close against most currencies with the lone exception being USD.JPY where the Yen gave up some recent strength. The big news over weekend was the announcement that Chinese exports reached a 10-month low which as you would expect hit the Asian currency harder than the rest of the world’s currencies, overall it was a very quiet currency market.

The Canadian Dollar continues to hold onto its strength from Friday’s job report were the Canadian economy created an astounding 95,000 new jobs, it was good to see the Canadian  bank economist were once again bang on with their average prediction of 18k new jobs, with one economist coming in at 10k, these guys and girls have an amazing track record (insert sarcasm here!). This is a remarkable number for the Canadian economy considering that the US created 175K in an economy that is 10 times the size of ours. Most of the jobs seemed to come from the construction sector which should lead to further demand for manufactured goods so hopefully this good news story will continue.

The jobs report has given the Loonie a shot in the arm and it has been able to fight off the headwinds that other commodity currencies are suffering with right now, my fear is still that the global uncertainty will lead to a stronger US Dollar but right now one cannot argue with the resilience of the Loonie. Up today with just the release of the Canadian Housing starts we should have a quiet day, given the jobs report I would expect the housing number to be quite strong. US Dollar sellers may want to consider lowering their orders down from the 1.0400 levels, given the strong jobs report it may be a while before we get back up there.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0195 1.0255
CAD/USD 0.9809 0.9751
EUR/USD 1.3221 1.3246
EUR/CAD 1.3483 1.3586
STG/CAD 1.5843 1.5979
AUD/CAD 0.962 0.974
CAD/JPY 96.8 93.44
CAD/CHF 0.9186 0.9032
CAD/HKD 7.5909 7.5492
CAD/CNY 6.0129 5.9777
CAD/MXN 12.5687 12.5462
Commodities
Gold $1,380.00 $1,411.00
OIL $95.63 $95.27
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.93 81.53
OPEN 82.15 81.34

 

 

 

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