Friday 4 October 2013

GFX Afternoon Currency Commentary 04 Oct 2013


Good afternoon,

Below are the current daily levels of the Canadian dollar vs. the other major currencies.

USD.CAD 1.0307 down 0.25%

GBP.CAD 1.6560 down 0.81%

EUR.CAD 1.4013 down 0.43%

The Canadian dollar has strengthened slightly against the major currencies in early trading today. Having declined versus the US dollar for much of the week, it has shown some signs of strength as the week closes. The Loonie did seem to gain some support from the stronger than expected Ivey Purchasing Managers’ report which is a good sign for the Canadian economy.

An announcement from Merrill Lynch stating that, the British pounds recent strength is “likely to subside”, coupled with yesterday’s rate freeze, has seen sterling lose ground against the US dollar for a second day. Having hit a 9 month high earlier in the week, the pound now appears to be losing some momentum.

The US dollar hit a monthly low against the yen, as the continued uncertainty within the US government rolls on. In addition to the fears regarding the debt ceiling, today should have seen the release of the US government jobs report. The governments lack of ability to release important figures, only adds to the ever increasing, heightened sense of uncertainty. With several more sets of numbers scheduled for release next week, only time will tell if get a chance to review them.

The Sunday night expected range for the Canadian dollar against the US dollar is 1.025-1.036

The Sunday night expected range for the Canadian dollar against the euro is 1.380-1.430

The Sunday night expected range for the Canadian dollar against the pound is 1.662-1.675

Enjoy your weekend,

Gavin

Gavin McAvoy | GFX Partners Inc |Currency Advisor

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