Thursday 20 February 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary


Good Morning,

 

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1025 – 1.1100

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.5100 – 1.5200

 Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.8375 – 1.8500

 

The US Dollar is stronger against most major currencies including the emerging markets with the lone exception the Japanese Yen which is outperforming 26 major peers. The Japanese Yen strength is mostly in reaction to Chinese manufacturing declining to a seven month low as risk aversion claws back. Global stock markets are all lower overnight as growth concerns resurface.

 The British Pound declined following the U.K. CBI industrial trends survey which rose to 3 in February from -2 the previous month but much lower than the consensus of 5 forecasted. The Euro didn’t fare much better dropping against the greenback after German Purchasing Managers Index for manufacturing grew less than estimates.

 The Canadian dollar held steady overnight after a huge spike yesterday in USD/CAD. The demand was fuelled by the Canadian acquisition for the natural gas properties of a U.S. energy company in Canada for a reported $3.1b. It’s difficult to ascertain if the market pre bought dollars for the M&A deal or the actual transaction flows came to the market. In any event there still looks like there’s demand for US dollars by the lack of pullback in the USD/CAD overnight. Today the economic calendar in Canada is empty with U.S. CPI data the main release with inflation expected to tick higher y/y to 1.6% from 1.5%. Also due out this morning is U.S. jobless claims, Philly Fed and leading indicators. Tomorrow Canada releases its inflation data which is expected to show a small uptick in inflation. Should inflation remain benign further pressure on the currency will ensue. Dow futures are pointing down by 44 with both oil and gold off marginally.

 



GFX Morning Currency Rates
Thursday February 20, 2014
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1067 1.0928
CAD/USD 0.9035 0.915
EUR/USD 1.3692 1.3745
EUR/CAD 1.515 1.5037
STG/CAD 1.842 1.8223
AUD/CAD 0.9943 0.9879
CAD/JPY 92.13 93.18
CAD/CHF 0.8051 0.8118
CAD/HKD 6.9893 7.0678
CAD/CNY 5.4964 5.5568
CAD/MXN 12.0477 12.1309
Commodities
Gold $1,313.00 $1,318.00
OIL $103.21 $102.95
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.2 80
OPEN 80.3 80.02
US 10YR YIELD 2.72% 2.68%

Have a great day!

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