Wednesday 5 February 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1030-1.1110

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4930-1.5000

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7970-18040

The US Dollar is for the most part unchanged despite some poor data out of Europe. In Europe the Euro-Zone Retail Sales report came in weaker than expected and  has helped push the Euro a little bit lower, in the UK a manufacturing report came in worse than expected and when you tie this in with dovish comments from Bank of England Governor Carney last week Sterling may be turning around. All currency traders will be looking to the what the Bank of England and European Central Banks do with their interest announcement tomorrow morning.

The Canadian Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as it trades in narrow ranges. USD.CAD will need to get a good break below 1.1050 to garner any further strength, it is setting up as a big barrier to be broken. If the rate does drop we strongly encourage US Dollar buyers to put on some forward contracts as the bias is still for a weaker Canadian Dollar, if the unemployment data on Friday for Canada is poor then we could easily see USD.CAD back up at 1.1200.

Up today we do get some secondary data but the markets are setting up for the UK and European interest rate announcements tomorrow and the employment reports out of both Canada and the US on Friday, all of which should bring back some renewed volatility. For now the Canadian Dollar continues to struggle to hold onto any strength and it should remain range bound ahead of the upcoming announcements. We still encourage US Dollar buyers to look at putting on some forward contracts if the Loonie stages any further short-term strength.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1055 1.109
CAD/USD 0.9045 0.9017
EUR/USD 1.3513 1.3513
EUR/CAD 1.4944 1.4993
STG/CAD 1.7991 1.8103
AUD/CAD 0.9869 0.986
CAD/JPY 91.43 91.29
CAD/CHF 0.8178 0.8147
CAD/HKD 6.9981 6.978
CAD/CNY 5.4794 5.4631
CAD/MXN 12.0498 12.1178
Commodities
Gold $1,258.00 $1,259.00
OIL $97.87 $96.48
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.14 81.07
OPEN 81.1 81.06
US 10YR YIELD 2.62% 2.60%

 

No comments:

Post a Comment