Monday 24 March 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1180-1.1250

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.5420-1.5500

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8480-1.8550

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as comments by International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine LaGarde seem to have given the Greenback a little boost. In a speech this morning in China LaGarde stated that the world economy is turning the corner although growth remains slow and unbalanced.

In other economic news overnight the Chinese purchasing managers index fell to an eight month low suggesting the slowdown in China is more pronounced than originally thought and in Europe the Euro-Zone Purchasing Managers index fell short of expectation so the recent numbers would seem to contradict LaGarde’s comments on the Global economy, hopefully she knows more than we are seeing at the moment.

The Canadian Dollar had a very quiet overnight session trading very close to Friday’s closing rate above 1.1200. With no major Canadian economic news out this week I would not expect much of a trading range for USD.CAD and we should continue to trade around current levels, any movement that we do get will be driven  by cross currency (Euro and Sterling) activities.

With no economic news out of the US and Canada today I am not looking for much of a trading range, US Dollar buyers need to look towards 1.1175/1.1150 as a good level for a pullback and US Dollar sellers should be happy with current levels to lock in some forward contracts, anytime the market gives you a 10%-12% premium I think you need to take advantage of it.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1227 1.1257
CAD/USD 0.8907 0.8895
EUR/USD 1.3769 1.3789
EUR/CAD 1.5461 1.5498
STG/CAD 1.8516 1.8547
AUD/CAD 1.0227 1.0208
CAD/JPY 91.2 90.98
CAD/CHF 0.7887 0.7856
CAD/HKD 6.8884 6.8851
CAD/CNY 5.5158 5.5404
CAD/MXN 11.7752 11.8038
Commodities
Gold $1,324.00 $1,337.00
OIL $98.95 $99.10
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.11 80.19
OPEN 80.27 80.13
US 10YR YIELD 2.76% 2.77%

 

 

 

 

 

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