Thursday 6 March 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary


Good Morning,

 
Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar is 1.1000 – 1.1050

 
Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.5125 – 1.5200

 
Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.8375 – 1.8490

 
Most of the major currency pairs against the U.S. dollar were sidelined overnight ahead of important interest rate announcements from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. The Japanese Yen weakened, dropping to a two week low against the greenback after advisers said Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund no longer needs to focus on domestic bonds. While the Yen moved lower in the Asian session the Aussie dollar surged on retail sales exceeding expectations by three times consensus. The Aussie also got a boost from the trade surplus expanding.

 The Bank of England left interest rates on hold at 0.50% and kept the quantitative easing steady, the reaction by the British Pound was muted. Next to report is the ECB which is not expected to move on interest rates which are currently at 0.25%. The statement at 8:30am may hint at further stimulus as the major concern of the central bank is combating deflation. The European single currency overnight was sidelined to tight ranges moving less than 25 points.

 The Canadian dollar is making fresh gains from overnight as the crisis in the Ukraine appears to be calming lending support to the currencies perceived as riskier CAD, AUD and NZD. How much further the Canadian dollar can rally ahead of the important payroll data tomorrow for both CAD and the U.S. remains to be seen. I would suggest it would be difficult for the USD/CAD to drop below 1.0989 which translates into .9100 cents U.S. In Canada today we have building permits for January at 8:30am and Ivey purchasing managers index out at 10:00am, while in the U.S. we have jobless claims and factory orders.

The Dow futures are pointing higher by 30 with oil and gold slightly off.

 

Have a great day!

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Thursday March 06, 2014
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1023 1.1073
CAD/USD 0.9072 0.9031
EUR/USD 1.3743 1.3716
EUR/CAD 1.5151 1.5194
STG/CAD 1.8433 1.8982
AUD/CAD 0.9974 0.9941
CAD/JPY 93.13 92.41
CAD/CHF 0.8042 0.8019
CAD/HKD 7.0189 6.9858
CAD/CNY 5.5483 5.5312
CAD/MXN 11.9944 11..9826
Commodities
Gold $1,334.00 $1,334.00
OIL $101.19 $102.88
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.09 80.16
OPEN 80.1 80.22
US 10YR YIELD 2.69% 2.69%

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