Thursday 12 February 2015

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.2525-1.2600

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4230-1.4300

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.9270-1.9340

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning falling the most against the British Pound. GBP.USD jumped from 1.5250 to 1.5360 on the UK inflation report that showed while inflation looks set to fall it is unlikely that any deflation will set in. The Euro also received a bit of a boost from the ceasefire that was agreed upon in Ukraine, but as we have seen in the past that situation is hardly resolved and it will continue to weigh on both the Euro and Russian Ruble. The Euro should also trade weaker until we see how the Greek debt talks unfold over the next few days, the Greek loan package is set to expire at the end of February so something will need to give before then.

The Canadian Dollar has a strong rally overnight, with oil trading back above $50 dollars a barrel it was able to gain back some strength. With the thought that the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates again and the uncertainty in the price of oil US Dollar buyers should again look at these small pullbacks as buying opportunities as we could well see USD.CAD at higher levels as the weeks march on.

Up today we get the US Retail Sales report for January and I will be looking to see if the US economy can keep up the momentum, we also get some Canadian housing data, if we start to see any declines in the data it may push the Loonie a little lower.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening 4pm close Wednesday
USD/CAD 1.2557 1.2635 1.2638
CAD/USD 0.7963 0.7914 0.7912
EUR/USD 1.134 1.13 1.1303
EUR/CAD 1.424 1.4276 1.429
STG/CAD 1.9254 1.9318 1.9277
AUD/CAD 0.9644 0.9754 0.9745
CAD/JPY 95.35 94.84 95.13
CAD/CHF 0.7412 0.7327 0.7338
CAD/HKD 6.1531 6.1153 6.1127
CAD/CNY 4.9725 4.9395 4.9367
CAD/MXN 12.0075 11.9205 11.9205
Commodities
Gold $1,223 $1,233.00 $1,219
OIL $50.14 $49.71 $49.27
US DOLLAR INDEX
OPEN 94.79 94.93 94.97
US 10YR YIELD 2.04% 1.99% 2.00%

 

 
 

 

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