Tuesday 10 April 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, April 10th, 2012


Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9950-1.0050

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3040-1.3150

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5820-1.5920

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning against the Euro has Global investors are getting increasingly concerned with the Spanish debt situation and also on comments yesterday from Fed chairman Ben Bernanke that the US economy "is still far from being fully recovered". Also overnight the Chinese balance of trade moved back into a surplus position indicating that they were importing less that they were exporting for the first time in a long period of time, a sure sign that the Chinese economy is still going to experience strong growth. On the currency markets EURO.USD fell to trade at 1.3060, GBP.USD fell to trade at 1.5820 so both currencies are trading weaker to the US dollar.

The Canadian dollar is still relatively weak against the Greenback as it hangs around par, but it continues to hold onto strength against the Euro and Pound. The Loonie is still trading weaker as the effects of the poor US jobs report continues to weigh on equities, you can see just how nervous investors are about this recovery in the US, in the States the economy still created 100k new jobs and investors run for the hills because the number did not hit expectation of 200k, the market is very nervous at the moment and I think will be so for some time yet.

With the lack of economic data today currency markets will look to equities to garner their direction and right now the Dow Jones is set to recover a little after yesterday’s decline we should see USD.CAD trade around par in fairly subdued markets.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Tuesday, April 10 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9985 0.9982
CAD/USD 1.0015 1.0018
EUR/USD 1.3074 1.3073
EUR/CAD 1.3055 1.3057
STG/CAD 1.5802 1.5838
AUD/CAD 1.0272 1.0276
CAD/JPY 81.26 81.49
CAD/CHF 0.9205 0.92
CAD/HKD 7.7775 7.7785
CAD/CNY 6.3173 6.3161
CAD/MXN 13.0571 13.0505
Commodities
Gold $1,646 $1,643
OIL $101.92 $101.88
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 10.48% 10.51%
1 Week 8.06% 8.08%
1 Month 8.52% 8.49%

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