Monday 9 April 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, April 9th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9950-1.0050

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3030-1.3150

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5820-1.5925

The US Dollar is basically unchanged in very quiet Easter trading conditions. Today is still a holiday in the UK and parts of Europe so currency trading is very restrained. Last night in Asia the US Dollar was trading a bit weaker as the Japanese current account report showed that economy was moving back into a surplus position (exporting more than importing), a report which gave the Yen some strength and will most likely have the Bank of Japan intervening in the economy to prevent further strength.


The Canadian Dollar is weaker to start the day and still trading near the parity level, the Loonie did lose some ground on Friday as the US Employment report came in worse than expected, The US was expected to create over 200k new jobs last month but only created just over 100k. On this report the US Dollar jumped higher across a wide range of currencies as investors will look to sell equities amid fear the US recovery is losing steam, the Dow Jones will be down over 100 on the opening this morning so it will be an ugly day on Wall and Bay streets.


With trading conditions subdued I would not expect a significant move for USD.CAD but with equity markets going to be significantly lower I would expect that  USD.CAD will trade above par at some point today. I am out of the office today but should be reachable by email or cellphone.


Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Monday, April 09 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9982 0.9931
CAD/USD 1.0018 1.0019
EUR/USD 1.3073 1.3072
EUR/CAD 1.3057 1.3047
STG/CAD 1.5838 1.58
AUD/CAD 1.0276 1.0254
CAD/JPY 81.49 82.65
CAD/CHF 0.92 0.9207
CAD/HKD 7.7785 7.7773
CAD/CNY 6.3161 6.3143
CAD/MXN 13.0505
Commodities
Gold $1,643 $1,624
OIL $101.88 $1.02
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 10.51% 10.87%
1 Week 8.08% 8.40%
1 Month 8.49% 8.62%

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