Wednesday 3 April 2013

GFX Mornign FX commentary April 3rd, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0100-1.0170

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is  1.2970-1.3050

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5300-1.5370

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning in very quiet overnight trading,  EURO.USD has moved a bit higher to trade at 1.2835 but is very quiet despite the announcement that the IMF will provide a billion Euros in financing to Cyprus. I am not quite sure if this is part of the financing package previously arranged for Cyprus last week or an additional Billion to help them out but either way the currency markets are ignoring the announcement. Italy announced that parliament will start to vote on a new President April 18th, if they can’t agree on who to elect you may see a new national election called which will force the Euro lower because of the uncertainty it will cause.

The Canadian Dollar is exactly where we left it yesterday as it did not have much of an overnight trading range, EURO.CAD has fallen a bit and is now trading at 1.3000. I fear the Canadian market will stay stagnant until we get some major news that want’s to push the currency one way or another. We do get a reading today on the US services part of the economy but as we have seen lately all the news of out of the USA has been positive so I am not expecting any surprises.

With all the global uncertainty on the economy at the moment I still worry that money will flow into the United States driving USD.CAD higher, US dollar buyers may still want to consider some forwards at these levels. Just a note on the rhetoric coming out of North Korea, I don’t for a second think anything will happen but the current leader seems to be a lunatic and if any shooting starts looks for global equity markets to take a big hit and the US dollar to surge.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0136 1.0128
CAD/USD 0.9866 0.9873
EUR/USD 1.2818 1.2854
EUR/CAD 1.2996 1.2999
STG/CAD 1.5318 1.5384
AUD/CAD 1.0616 1.0606
CAD/JPY 92.22 92.06
CAD/CHF 0.9355 0.934
CAD/HKD 7.6361 7.6429
CAD/CNY 6.1158 6.1182
CAD/MXN 12.111 12.197
Commodities
Gold $1,569.00 $1,596.00
OIL $96.73 $97.00
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 83.1 82.89
OPEN 83.08 82.89
 
 

 

 

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