Tuesday 16 April 2013

GFX Morning Commentary April 16th, 2013

Good Morning

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0180-1.0250

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3380-1.3450

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5620-1.5700

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as an overnight recovery in the price of gold and other commodities have pushed EURO.USD back above the 1.3100 level. With the absolute crushing that gold received yesterday (worst one day drop in the price since 1980) on rumors that the Bank of Cyprus and other central banks were in the market selling gold and also poor growth data out of China it was not surprising that investors would jump into the market this morning and start buying commodities at such cheap levels this morning.

The Canadian dollar is marginally stronger this morning on the higher prices for commodities but it is not nearly as strong as the Aussie and New Zealand dollars that seem to have much more volatile markets at the moment, the Loonie seems content to stay in tight ranges as it looks for signs of any volatility. Given the uncertainty and fear that seems to be gripping financial markets I favour a move higher for USD.CAD in the short-term, but once again it will be a slow grind higher, tomorrow’s Bank of Canada announcement on interest rate policy will take on added significance given current market fears.

Up today we get the release the US CPI inflation report for March and other secondary data , we are also expecting some secondary data out of Canada but barring any surprises currency markets for the most part will be watching the commodity markets to see if things are stabilizing but they will also be watching the USA domestic front to see if the Boston attack is part of a wider attack on the USA or just an act of domestic terrorism.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0221 1.0214
CAD/USD 0.9784 0.9714
EUR/USD 1.3105 1.3076
EUR/CAD 1.3403 1.3357
STG/CAD 1.3654 1.5656
AUD/CAD 1.0606 1.063
CAD/JPY 95.7 95.75
CAD/CHF 0.9071 0.9093
CAD/HKD 7.576 7.5788
CAD/CNY 6.0465 6.0561
CAD/MXN 11.9444 11.899
Commodities
Gold $1,390.00 $1,407.00
OIL $88.43 $88.69
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 82.49 82.22
OPEN 82.27 82.39
 

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