Monday 29 April 2013

GFX Morning Commentary April 29th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0100-1.0180

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3250-1.3330

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5710-1.5800

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as the Euro has advanced on the announcement that a  new government has been formed it Italy. In Rome a collation government has been formed between Enrico Letta and Berlusconi which has pledged to pull back from some of the austerity measures that the previous government put in place. It should be interesting to see how Italy's budget deficit does this year, if it balloons investors will get very nervous.

This week should see lots of action in Europe with both the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve announcing on interest rates. The US should stay the course but investors will be looking for any signs of when the stimulus program will be ended, in Europe there is a building expectation that the ECB will cut rates to try and get the economy going.

The Canadian Dollar continues to benefit from the weaker US Dollar as USD.CAD dropped during the overnight session, it is getting to the point now where US Dollar buyers need to take notice and start looking at forward contracts, given the uncertainty in the global economy we could easily see USD.CAD trade higher very quickly over the next few days.

We should have a busy week of economic news, highlight of course by the US Federal Reserve and the ECB announcements, but we also have  a slew of other economic activity to be reported ending up with the US Employment report on Friday. Up today we get US Personal Income and spending and from everything I read bit numbers could disappoint just like the US GDP report disappointed on Friday. If I am correct then look for USD.CAD to slip a bit more today and test 1.0150.

Have a great week
Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0144 1.0195
CAD/USD 0.9858 0.9809
EUR/USD 1.308 1.3001
EUR/CAD 1.327 1.3257
STG/CAD 1.5747 1.5762
AUD/CAD 1.0483 1.0482
CAD/JPY 96.5 96.82
CAD/CHF 0.9257 0.9256
CAD/HKD 7.6297 7.5937
CAD/CNY 6.0258 6.0442
CAD/MXN 11.9462 11.9363
Commodities
Gold $1,470.00 $1,467.00
OIL $93.40 $93.00
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 82.57 82.9
OPEN 82.25 82.78
 

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