Wednesday 11 December 2013

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0560-1.0630

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4550-1.4620

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7310-1.7380

The US Dollar is for the most part unchanged from Yesterday’s North American close. The notable exception is Sterling where the Pound has fallen off it recent 2-year high as currency traders are starting to questions the overall strength of the currency, GBP.USD fell from an overnight high of 1.6425 to trade as low as 1.6370 this morning.  The currency market is still awaiting new information next week on whether the US Federal Reserve will start to cut back on their stimulus program, if they do announce any measures to decrease their stimulus program then you will see stock markets take an initial hit and the US Dollar jump.

The Canadian Dollar continues its recent rally from the highs up at 1.0700 last week, in an economic report put out yesterday the Bank of Montreal published their currency prediction and stated that they see USD.CAD back at 1.0700 in a month’s time and they see the level at 1.1000 by the middle of next year. Long-time readers will now that I don’t place much stock in economist predictions but certainly the trend is still in place for USD.CAD to go higher. If I needed to buy US Dollars I would certainly be looking to protect myself at least for three to six months at any levels below 1.0600.

With no economic statistics due out today, I would expect the Canadian Dollar rally to continue in a narrow range, if we see USD.CAD stop at current levels then I would be concerned that we are starting to set up for the move back to 1.0700.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0587 1.0638
CAD/USD 0.9445 0.94
EUR/USD 1.3764 1.3741
EUR/CAD 1.4577 1.4619
STG/CAD 1.735 1.7487
AUD/CAD 0.9649 0.9706
CAD/JPY 96.77 96.87
CAD/CHF 0.8378 0.8361
CAD/HKD 7.3173 7.2661
CAD/CNY 5.7325 5.7062
CAD/MXN 12.1954
Commodities
Gold $1,256.00 $1,245.00
OIL $98.37 $95.53
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 79.98 79.98
OPEN 79.96 80.1
US 10YR YIELD 2.80% 2.75%

 

 

 

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