Tuesday 1 April 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1025-1.1080

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.5240-1.5300

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8370-1.8440

The US Dollar is weaker this morning as a better than expected German Employment report and stronger Spanish manufacturing data helped push the Euro higher overnight, the Euro rose at the expense of the US Dollar for the third day in a row as the Euro-Zone recovery seems to be gathering momentum.

The Canadian Dollar took its first run yesterday at the 1.1000 level after the better than expected Canadian GDP report gave the Loonie a  boost, as I expected it was not able to break through on the first try and USD.CAD has traded higher the rest of the day. As I mentioned last week‎ any Canadian Dollar strength will be hard to come by but when the Loonie starts to weaken it will be quick and volatile.

With a new month comes all new economic data, up today we get some secondary inflation data and on Friday we get the all-important US and Canadian jobs reports, as the new month kicks off we should see volatility start to jump again. I look for USD.CAD to range trade for the day between 1.1000 and 1.1100 as the outside parameters, we should stay in that range ahead of the Employment reports on Friday

In another interesting development the US, Canadian and Mexican Governments announced the creation of a common currency that will take effect Jan 1st. The Amero will replace all the existing local currencies and the Canadian content on the currency will feature Toronto Mayor Rob Ford on the $10 dollar bill in recognition for his contribution to Canadian politics.

Welcome to April, have a great month
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1063 1.1051
CAD/USD 0.9039 0.9049
EUR/USD 1.3794 1.3788
EUR/CAD 1.5263 1.5244
STG/CAD 1.842 1.8398
AUD/CAD 1.0222 1.0206
CAD/JPY 93.41 93.35
CAD/CHF 0.7977 0.7996
CAD/HKD 6.9901 6.9977
CAD/CNY 5.6105 5.6233
CAD/MXN 11.8174 11.8167
Commodities
Gold $1,285.00 $1,295.00
OIL $101.37 $101.24
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.06 80.34
OPEN 80.06 80.18
US 10YR YIELD 2.74% 2.74%

 

 

 
 

 

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