Thursday 3 April 2014

GFX MorninG Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0980-1.1050

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.5160-1.5230

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8270-1.8350

The US Dollar is stronger this morning as the markets awaited the European Central Bank announcement and Governor Draghi's press conference later this morning, the Greenback is unchanged against the Euro but stronger against Sterling and the Yen . Money is starting to flow back out of Japan as the crisis in Ukraine seems to abating for the moment, but the whole situation remains volatile and could blow up at a moment’s notice. In the UK the economy reported the first suspect number in a long while with some Services data coming in below estimates, with the Pound being so strong lately it will be become very vulnerable to negative numbers and today was a perfect example of this as GBP.USD fell almost 1% on the announcement. I still think overall Sterling will remain one of the strongest currencies but it could be subject to some wild swings going forward.

As I mentioned yesterday the ECB kept interest rates at 0.25% and no signs of the ECB adding further stimulus to the economy, EURO.USD has not reacted to the announcement, the market will not await Draghi’s press conference for any future guidance.

The Canadian Dollar continues to try and break the 1.1000 level, I am not quite sure they this particular rate is becoming so important but if it does break through then we could see USD.CAD run to 1.0950 over a short time period. The Loonie is doing better against both Sterling and the Euro so if that continues it may also give the Loonie a bit of a boost against the US Dollar.

Up today we do get some secondary Canadian Trade data but for the most part the market will be watching the ECB press conference and getting set up for tomorrow’s US and Canadian Employment data.

Have a great day
Mike




GFX Morning Currency Rates
 
 
 
Currencies
7:00am Today's Opening
Yesterday's Opening
 
USD/CAD
1.101
1.1019
 
CAD/USD
0.9082
0.9075
 
EUR/USD
1.3765
1.3786
 
EUR/CAD
1.5159
1.5193
 
STG/CAD
1.8272
1.8334
 
AUD/CAD
1.0172
1.0187
 
CAD/JPY
94.35
94.1
 
CAD/CHF
0.805
0.8023
 
CAD/HKD
7.0231
7.0181
 
CAD/CNY
5.6395
5.6296
 
CAD/MXN
11.9133
11.8677
 
Commodities
 
 
Gold
$1,287.00
$1,284.00
 
OIL
$99.20
$99.26
 
 
US DOLLAR INDEX
 
P.CLOSE
80.09
80.08
 
OPEN
80.27
80.09
 
 
US 10YR YIELD
2.79%
2.77%
 
 


 

 


 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment