Wednesday 2 April 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0980-1.1040

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.5160-1.5220

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8310-1.8370
 
The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning in quiet trading conditions, both the Euro and Sterling are slightly weaker against the Greenback but in reality they are almost exactly right where we left them at the Toronto close. In Europe the EU Producer Price index came in slightly below expectation indicating once again that inflation is not on anyone’s radar, tomorrow the ECB make its interest rate announcement and it is expected in the absence of any inflation that they will hold interest rates at 0.25% but that they may introduce other stimulus measures to spur on the EU economy. In the UK the numbers keep supporting a recovery, this morning it was the UK Construction firms reporting strong numbers, it is tough to imagine Sterling trading much weaker at the moment.

The Canadian Dollar continues to trade in between the 1.1000 to 1.1100 wide trading range and once again USD.CAD looks like it wants to trade below the 1.1000 level this morning, it has tried two times now to reach that level and each time it has been buffed. If it does not get through on a third attempt then I think we will see the rate head back towards 1.1100.

Up today we get some secondary data out of the US including the ADP private employment report and US factory orders. They are the first real numbers of the new month and should be coming after the downturn caused by some of the winter storms, ADP is looking for an uptick in employment of 190K new jobs which would be a positive number for the US Dollar. The more important US Department of Labour Employment report will be released on Friday.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
 
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1019 1.1063
CAD/USD 0.9075 0.9039
EUR/USD 1.3786 1.3794
EUR/CAD 1.5193 1.5263
STG/CAD 1.8334 1.842
AUD/CAD 1.0187 1.0222
CAD/JPY 94.1 93.41
CAD/CHF 0.8023 0.7977
CAD/HKD 7.0181 6.9901
CAD/CNY 5.6296 5.6105
CAD/MXN 11.8677 11.8174
Commodities
Gold $1,284.00 $1,285.00
OIL $99.26 $101.37
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.08 80.06
OPEN 80.09 80.06
US 10YR YIELD 2.77% 2.74%

 

 


 

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