Monday 12 May 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0850-1.0920

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4950-1.5020

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8360-1.8430

The US Dollar is marginally weaker in narrow overnight trading ranges this morning. With very little economic activity overnight the Greenback was dragged lower by Sterling which again was the strongest of the major currencies, strong economic numbers and the expectation that the Bank of England will be the first major western currency to increase interest rates keep pushing the Pound higher. On the other hand both Citibank and UBS came out this morning and said that the Euro will trade weaker in the coming weeks as the European Central Bank will increase stimulus measures.

The Canadian Dollar is unchanged from the Friday close, it was not able to recover any of the losses from the very poor Canadian Employment report on Friday but on the positive side it has not weakened any further than the Friday high for USD.CAD. If the Loonie can recover today then it is safe to say that investors think there is some upside to the Canadian Dollar and we could see a move back towards 1.0800. I am surprised that USD.CAD is not higher as the employment report was just dismal, it paints a very poor picture of the Canadian economy.

A vey quiet day today (and this week) on the economic front so I am not expecting much of a trading range, USD.CAD should be quiet and will take it direction from the movement in the Euro. Buyers of EURO.CAD should like these levels but if Euro does trade weaker over the week then EURO.CAD should come in a bit lower.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0884 1.0819
CAD/USD 0.9188 0.9243
EUR/USD 1.3754 1.381
EUR/CAD 1.4974 1.4944
STG/CAD 1.8383 1.8289
AUD/CAD 1.0204 1.0138
CAD/JPY 93.64 93.94
CAD/CHF 0.8152 0.8154
CAD/HKD 7.1167 7.159
CAD/CNY 5.7271 5.7529
CAD/MXN 11.9108 12.0033
Commodities
Gold $1,295.00 $1,289.00
OIL $100.48 $100.71
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 79.88 79.37
OPEN 79.85 79.57
US 10YR YIELD 2.64% 2.61%

 

 

 

 

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