Tuesday 13 May 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0870-1.0930

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4920-1.4990

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8340-1.8400

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as a report out of Germany showed that investor confidence dropped last month, the Euro remains under constant pressure from the Draghi comments last week where he basically announced that the ECB will undertake a stimulus program next month. The German Bundesbank (Germany’s Central Bank) also weighed in this morning that the timing was right for the ECB to undertake a stimulus program.

The Canadian Dollar had a very quiet 24 hour period, it spent most of yesterday trying to pull back some strength and last night it actually weakened off a little with the overall jump in the US Dollar helping to push it lower. USD.CAD continues to be confined to tight trading ranges and at this stage we could see limited movement could be in either direction.

Up today we get the release of the US Retail Sales report for April, we are expecting an increase of 0.4% after an increase of 1.2% in March,  I would not expect much reaction from the currency market unless we get a very poor number. Currency traders will be watching the developments in the Ukraine where Russia still has 40,000 troops on the border and tensions seem to be on the rise as both the disputed regions voted to create two new autonomous regions and secede from Ukraine.

Have a great day
 
Mike

Tuesday May 13, 2014
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0905 1.0884
CAD/USD 1.3711 0.9188
EUR/USD 1.6829 1.3754
EUR/CAD 0.9344 1.4974
STG/CAD 0.8632 1.8383
AUD/CAD 102.27 1.0204
CAD/JPY 0.8899 93.64
CAD/CHF 1.4953 0.8152
CAD/HKD 1.8357 7.1167
CAD/CNY 5.7093 5.7271
CAD/MXN 11.8849 11.9108
Commodities
Gold $1,292.00 $1,295.00
OIL $101.28 $100.48
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 79.85 79.88
OPEN 80.07 79.85
US 10YR YIELD 2.64% 2.64%
 

 

 

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