Thursday 29 May 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0830-1.0900

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4760-1.4820

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8220-1.8180


The US Dollar is weaker this morning as both the Euro and Sterling and strong overnight trading sessions. The Dollar is reacting to a decline in US interest rates and comments From US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen that the US economy still needs help. The US Treasury yield has hit a one-year low rate of 2.42% so clearly investors are expecting low interests rates to be the norm for some time to come both in North America and Europe. The market is also punishing the dollar on the expectation that today’s US GDP report will show GDP declined in the last quarter.

The Canadian Dollar had another quiet night as it continues to trade in very familiar ranges but given the weak US dollar I would not be surprised if USD.CAD moved to the downside this morning, I don’t expect a huge move but certainly the currency pair could test the previous lows of earlier this week.

As mentioned, trading today will be dominated by the US GDP report for the  1st Quarter, we are expecting a decline in GDP of 0.5% after an increase of 0.1% the previous quarter. At -0.5% in itself is a disappointing number but anything worse than that should push USD.CAD lower, if the number is quite strong then we will see USD.CAD push back towards 1.0900

If we do see a lot of movement then I will send out a currency alert.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates

 
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0857 1.0853
CAD/USD 0.921 0.9214
EUR/USD 1.3618 1.362
EUR/CAD 1.4788 1.4765
STG/CAD 1.8158 1.8189
AUD/CAD 1.0098 1.0028
CAD/JPY 93.48 93.87
CAD/CHF 0.8254 0.8268
CAD/HKD 7.1191 7.1378
CAD/CNY 5.7455 5.7607
CAD/MXN 11.8672 11.8841
Commodities
Gold $1,253.00 $1,265.00
OIL $102.88 $104.21
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.56 80.36
OPEN 80.42 80.44
US 10YR YIELD 2.42% 2.50%

 

 

 

 

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