Monday 12 January 2015

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1850-1.1920

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4020-1.4090

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8000-1.8070

The US Dollar is stronger to start the new trading week as the Greenback continues to push ahead on the strength of Friday’s positive Employment report. The US Dollar is particularly  strong against the Euro and Sterling, The Euro continues to weaken on the prospect of future stimulus packages from the ECB and the Pound is weaker as projected lower inflation data keeps the Bank of England from raising interest rates.

The Canadian Dollar is weaker this morning as USD.CAD approaches levels not seen since 2009, at the moment it looks like the US Dollar will continue to get stronger as there is nothing coming from Canada that will change the current momentum. The Canadian employment report showed small job losses last month but the good news is that more full-time positions were created offset by a drop in part-time positions, to me a very neutral report which has not given any benefit to the Loonie.

Up this week we have the actual UK inflation data tomorrow and then the US Retail Sales report on Wednesday followed by inflation data on Friday, there is no Canadian economic data of note this week.

It should be more of the same this week with USD.CAD testing above 1.1900 at some point, there is no relief for US Dollar buyers in sight at the moment, US Dollar sellers need to continue to keep locking in these rates with forward contracts to protect themselves against an eventual pullback.


Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening 4pm close January 09, 2015 
USD/CAD 1.1877 1.1821 1.186
CAD/USD 0.842 0.8459 0.8431
EUR/USD 1.1801 1.1814 1.1841
EUR/CAD 1.4016 1.3973 1.4045
STG/CAD 1.7976 1.7925 1.7988
AUD/CAD 0.97 0.9629 0.9733
CAD/JPY 100.37 100.81 99.89
CAD/CHF 0.8566 0.8591 0.8544
CAD/HKD 6.5074 6.5764 6.516
CAD/CNY 5.2221 5.559 5.235
CAD/MXN 12.3369 12.4222 12.329
Commodities
Gold $1,220 $1,212 $1,220.00
OIL $47.27 $48.50 $48.25
US DOLLAR INDEX
OPEN 92.24 92.1 91.93
US 10YR YIELD 1.97% 2.00% 1.97%

 

 

 


 

 

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