Tuesday 11 September 2012

GFX Mornking FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9700-.9800

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2400-1.2500

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5550-1.5650

The US Dollar is weaker this morning as a request by a German parliament group to the German high court to delay the release of their vote on the legality of German Government providing funding to the EU rescue Fund has been rejected, the announcement is still scheduled for tomorrow at 10:00am London time. I get a sense that investors are building a consensus that the court will rule in favour of the Government but of course nothing is certain. The Euro was also stronger on reports that Spain will not ask the EU for a full bailout but that too remains to be seen.

The Canadian Dollar has been the big beneficiary of the weaker USD overnight with USD.CAD now looking like it wants to break below the .9700 level, once again we have not seen these levels in a year for USD.CAD and with markets now getting over weighted in Canadian dollars it would make sense for USD buyers to be buying at these levels on a forward basis, pullbacks can be quick and violent.

The only economic data we have for today is the trade data on both sides of the border so not a lot to push the market, with North American equity markets pointing higher look for USD.CAD to continue to have pressure to move lower throughout the morning.
 

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Tuesday September 11, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9738 0.9765
CAD/USD 1.027 1.0241
EUR/USD 1.279 1.2784
EUR/CAD 1.2455 1.2485
STG/CAD 1.56 1.5621
AUD/CAD 1.0104 1.0106
CAD/JPY 80.08 80.14
CAD/CHF 0.9681 0.9676
CAD/HKD 7.9409 7.92
CAD/CNY 6.5041 6.4887
CAD/MXN 13.3944 13.2813
Commodities
Gold $1,735 $1,735
OIL $96.56 $96.39
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 7.00% 7.05%
1 Week 6.90% 6.89%
1 Month 6.50% 6.43%

 

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