Wednesday 10 October 2012

GFX FX Morning Commentary Oct 10th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9740-.9840

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2560-1.2660

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5620-1.5720

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as investors are increasingly worried about the EU crisis and  slowing Global growth. This morning the IMF reported that European Banks may have to sell upwards of 4.5 Trillion Euros worth of assets to have enough cash on their books to operate properly, ALCOA the world’s largest aluminum producer said they see a 1% drop in global demand for aluminum and Fitch bond rating agency said the recession in Spain and Italy appears to be intensifying. Once again no end in sight to the bad news, The US Dollar will continue to benefit on the safe haven effect.

The Canadian Dollar is unchanged from yesterday’s Toronto close and traded in a very narrow overnight range,  the Loonie does remain strong against the Euro and Sterling which tells me that money from these regions is flowing into Canada for protection. Given our relatively strong economy when compared to other regions there is no reason to think that the Canadian Dollar will not benefit in the medium-term.

Over the short-term there is no reason that I can see that will allow USD.CAD to break out in either direction, it looks like we will trade back and forth around the .9800 level for a while yet. For today with North American equity markets pointing lower to start the day I would expect USD.CAD to test a bit higher and see if we can get a close above the .9800 level which might get currency traders exicited.

 

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Wednesday October 10, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9782 0.9768
CAD/USD 1.0223 1.0238
EUR/USD 1.2864 1.2929
EUR/CAD 1.2584 1.2626
STG/CAD 1.5652 1.5639
AUD/CAD 1.0009 0.9972
CAD/JPY 79.98 80.08
CAD/CHF 0.9613 0.9584
CAD/HKD 7.9192 7.9316
CAD/CNY 6.4835 6.4338
CAD/MXN 13.1682 13.1039
Commodities
Gold $1,764 $1,773
OIL $91.90 $89.54
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 10.38% 9.54%
1 Week 7.09% 6.96%
1 Month 6.85% 6.83%

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