Wednesday 31 October 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary October 31st, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9940-1.0040

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2940-1.3040

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6040-1.6140

The US Dollar is weaker this morning as the Euro has jumped back above the 1.3000 level, this morning it was optimism that Portugal is going to pass their 2013 austerity budget and EU ministers have a conference call scheduled to discuss the terms of the Greek bailout. Greece has been asking the EU for more time to pay back the loans so hopefully an accommodation can be reached.

The NYSE will return to operation this morning as it has to play catch up from the last two days, I am not sure how many people will make it back to work as most buses and all subways are still closed and will be for some time. Right now the opening is pointing to a jump of 50 points, a positive day should push the US Dollar lower.

The Canadian Dollar had the rally that we were looking for and USD.CAD is now firmly back below the 1.000 level, with the jump yesterday in the value of the Aussie and Kiwi dollars it made sense that the Loonie should  gain as well, it just took a day longer to happen.
Canadian Dollar trading will be dominated by the Canadian GDP report for August were we are expecting an increase in economic activity of 0.2% which equates to a 1.7% year over year growth rate, that is slight down from the July number. We also get some secondary US economic data including the ADP employment report so with the NYSE resuming operations we may see some enhanced volatility today.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9967 1.0003
CAD/USD 1.0033 0.9997
EUR/USD 1.3005 1.2952
EUR/CAD 1.2964 1.2957
STG/CAD 1.6062 1.6065
AUD/CAD 1.0334 1.035
CAD/JPY 79.83 79.11
CAD/CHF 0.9314 0.9322
CAD/HKD 7.753 7.7255
CAD/CNY 6.2574 6.241
CAD/MXN 13.0826 13.0726
Commodities
Gold $1,719 $1,711
OIL $86.32 $85.54
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 9.27% 9.58%
1 Week 7.19% 7.23%
1 Month 6.65% 7.00%
 

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