Monday 15 October 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary Oct 15th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9750-.9850

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2660-1.2750

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5675-1.5775

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning  in very quiet trading conditions. There was lots going on last night and this morning (IMF calling for a quicker creation of common EU banking regulations, China reported better than expected trade numbers and falling inflation, UK inflation was a little lower prompting the call for more Asset purchase by the central bank and lots of comments about Greece leaving or never leaving the EU) but none of these managed to capture the interest of the currency markets interest. There is an EU summit at the end of this week which the currency markets may wait for so we could be in for an overall quiet week on the volatility front.

Nothing new to report on the Canadian Dollar, we start our third week with USD.CAD trading around the .9800 level with little on the horizon  to get the Loonie exicited, up today we get the release of the September Retail Sales and the Empire State (New York) Manufacturing Index today which will most likely continue to confirm that a modest recovery is underway in the US. Disappointing numbers will spook the equity markets and you may see USD.CAD jump above the .9800 level, other than that USD.CAD trading should  remain subdued.

 
Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates

Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9777 0.9777
CAD/USD 1.0228 1.0228
EUR/USD 1.2962 1.2963
EUR/CAD 1.2675 1.2675
STG/CAD 1.5699 1.5693
AUD/CAD 1.0006 1.0021
CAD/JPY 80.46 80.21
CAD/CHF 0.9534 0.9535
CAD/HKD 7.9048 7.9076
CAD/CNY 6.4105 6.4068
CAD/MXN 13.0998 13.1761
Commodities
Gold $1,748 $1,770
OIL $91.57 $92.17
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 9.35% 6.72%
1 Week 6.41% 6.86%
1 Month 6.61% 6.72%

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