Monday 11 March 2013

GFX Morning Commentary March 11th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0260-1.0330

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3350-1.3430

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5290-1.5370

The US Dollar is unchanged against most currency but very strong against the Japanese yen as the market digests the strong employment numbers out of the US and a Fitch downgrade of Italy. Overnight European equity markets dropped off as Fitch downgraded Italian sovereign debt on the unresolved election issues, the Euro did drop off a little but is basically unchanged from our close Friday. The currency markets still like the US dollar and Friday’s strong jobs report seem to underline this fact.

The Canadian Dollar is marginally weaker from its close on Friday, once again the Canadian economy surprised all the economists by creating 50+ new jobs when they were only expecting some 7K new jobs to have been created, I am constantly amazed just off far off the mark these bank economist can be with their predictions. Shortly after the number the Loonie dropped rapidly with USD.CAD falling towards 1.0250 but then spent the rest of the day slowly moving back towards 1.0300. It certainly looks right now that the US Dollar is just too strong for any short-term Canadian Dollar strength be maintained.

With no economic news out today I am not looking for an overly big trading range , US Dollar sellers should be ready with their orders above 1.0300 and US Dollar buyers should be ready if USD.CAD falls back towards 1.0250.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0285 1.0302
CAD/USD 0.9723 0.9707
EUR/USD 1.3002 1.3118
EUR/CAD 1.3371 1.3516
STG/CAD 1.5311 1.5494
AUD/CAD 1.0523 1.0583
CAD/JPY 93.34 92.94
CAD/CHF 0.9241 0.9148
CAD/HKD 7.5395 7.5069
CAD/CNY 6.0455 6.0323
CAD/MXN 12.2556 12.3582
Commodities
Gold $1,578.58 $1,577
OIL $91.71 $91.32
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 9.06% 8.46%
1 Week 6.73% 7.66%
1 Month 6.69% 6.70%
 

 

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