Tuesday 5 March 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary March 5th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0230-1.0310

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3350-1.3425

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Sterling is 1.5530-1.5600

The US Dollar is marginally weaker in quiet overnight trading as the Euro rose to trade at a high of 1.3070 against the Greenback. In China the Central Communist Party is meeting to make the change over in leaders and in a speech outgoing Premier Wen Jiabao indicated that the new Government must continue to build a mildly prosperous country that battles corruption and does not allow a housing bubble to form. I think a pretty clear signal that the new Chinese administration will stay the course in China, they will continue policy that will keep growth rates high and look to continue to stem the property bubble that is forming. If Chinese growth rates were to slip in the short-term I think it would mean real hardship for the world equity markets, Investors will be watching early on to see what is coming out of China.

The Canadian Dollar pulled back all it loses from yesterday but still basically trades in the 1.2050 to 1.0300 trading range with little on the horizon today to signify a big break out on either side. We do get the release of the US ISM report which once again is expected to show growth in the US economy but I don’t think it will move the markets that much. As we get into the afternoon session the Canadian market will remain steady and get setup for the Bank of Canada tomorrow, make sure you get your orders in early as the markets could be very volatile after the announcement. I will summaries what we are looking from the Bank in tomorrow’s commentary.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0265 1.0289
CAD/USD 0.9742 0.9719
EUR/USD 1.3032 1.3
EUR/CAD 1.3379 1.3379
STG/CAD 1.5554 1.5483
AUD/CAD 1.0495 1.0438
CAD/JPY 90.71 90.84
CAD/CHF 0.9177 0.9155
CAD/HKD 7.536 7.5158
CAD/CNY 6.0575
CAD/MXN 12.4053 12.4676
Commodities
Gold $1,582 $1,576
OIL $90.28 $90.55
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 10.42% 10.00%
1 Week 8.13% 8.50%
1 Month 7.22% 7.42%

 

 

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