Tuesday 7 January 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0645-1.0720

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4560-1.4630

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7540-1.7610

The US Dollar is once again mixed this morning as it is weaker against the Euro and Sterling but marginally stronger against the Canadian Dollar and other commodity currencies. The Australian Dollar had a big drop as records showed that total trade between Australia and China fell for the first time in 5 months, I would guess that would be the case for a lot of the commodity currencies including Canada.

The Euro jumped higher this morning on a stronger than expected German employment picture and inflation data that showed inflation is not a concern at the moment in the EU economy. These numbers may allow the ECB to lower European interest rates once again at their meeting this week. Sterling was able to jump higher again on the back of the stronger Euro.

The Canadian Dollar is weaker this morning as it trades under pressure from comments made late yesterday by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty. Addressing the media yesterday Flaherty made the statements that he sees the Canadian budget deficit picture improving but also said that Bank of Canada governor Poloz favours a weaker Canadian Dollar which would help the Canadian export market, this is just some further examples of the verbal intervention that we have seen from other world leaders in an attempt to weaken their currency.

Up today we do get some secondary US & Canadian data and some US Federal Reserve speakers talking about the US economy so currency markets may remain on edge. Last night the US Senate ratified the appointment of Janet Yellen as the new chairperson of the Federal Reserve but by the smallest margin in the history of appointing new Fed leaders, I think there is still lots of discourse in the US political system.

Look for USD.CAD to continue to trade around the 1.0700 level early today with pressure still mounting for a push higher.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0692 1.0638
CAD/USD 0.9353 0.94
EUR/USD 1.3641 1.3603
EUR/CAD 1.4592 1.4473
STG/CAD 1.7555 1.7422
AUD/CAD 0.9546 0.9523
CAD/JPY 97.61 98.28
CAD/CHF 0.8477 0.8501
CAD/HKD 7.2458 7.284
CAD/CNY 5.6559 5.687
CAD/MXN 12.2421 12.3301
Commodities
Gold $1,239.00 $1,237.00
OIL $94.00 $94.51
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.66 80.85
OPEN 80.67 80.81
US 10YR YIELD 2.96% 2.99%
 

 

 

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