Thursday 16 January 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0880-1.0950

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4840-1.4920

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7840-1.7920

The US Dollar is stronger this morning against the Japanese Yen and British Pound and unchanged against the Euro. The big mover overnight was the Australian Dollar that dropped over a full cent against the US Dollar. This resulted from a very poor jobs report where the economists were predicting a gain of 10K and the economy actually lost 22.6K jobs, a situation which is mirroring Canada to a tee. The British Pound fell to a three week low against the Greenback as the UK housing price index fell quite a bit, if the housing market in the UK is in trouble again you can say good-bye to their recovery.

The Canadian Dollar had a very quiet overnight session and is basically where we left it going home last night, given that the Aussie Dollar fell so much it was surprising that the Loonie did not follow suit. I am starting to get a sense that maybe this move that started at the New Year is beginning to lose momentum and in fact we may see a bit of a rally for the Loonie in the coming days. I still do not favour much of  a rally but if US Dollar buyers can pick up some dollars at 1.0900 or below I think common sense dictates that they do so, our more medium term view is still that USD.CAD moves higher.

Up today we get some US inflation data but given that inflation does not seem to be a concern at the moment  I don’t think it will have much immediate effect on the currency market

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0926 1.0963
CAD/USD 0.9152 0.9121
EUR/USD 1.3608 1.3624
EUR/CAD 1.4872 1.4939
STG/CAD 1.7848 1.801
AUD/CAD 0.9603 0.9775
CAD/JPY 95.8 95.08
CAD/CHF 0.8301 0.827
CAD/HKD 7.0752 7.0515
CAD/CNY 5.5407 5.5115
CAD/MXN 5.5407 11.9519
Commodities
Gold $1,237.00 $1,238.00
OIL $94.44 $92.84
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.04 80.64
OPEN 81 80.87
US 10YR YIELD 2.88% 2.87%

 


 

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