Wednesday 22 January 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0930-1.1050

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4850-1.4950

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8120-1.8220

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning against most currencies but considerably weaker against Sterling. In the UK the employment report game in much better than expected at 7.1% which is the lowest level in years. You may remember that Bank of England indicated that he would keep stimulus in place until the unemployment rate fell to 7.0%. Given that we are now so close to that rate Sterling traders will be watching the BOE to look for any signs that they will be reducing interest rates or at the very least reducing their stimulus program.

The Australian Dollar was also very busy as it had a fairly large rally on the back of an inflation report that was higher than expected, this should provide interesting news for the Bank of Canada as they are becoming increasingly concerned with the low level of inflation in this country.

Welcome to the much anticipated Bank of Canada announcement day. The Loonie had a quiet night as traders await the announcement from Governor Poloz this morning at 10:00 am, we are expecting interest rates to remain at 1.0% put think that he will hint at an interest rate cut in the coming weeks. Our expectation is that USD.CAD will move higher on such an announcement, if we are wrong and they indicate that the economy is unfolding as they anticipated then the Loonie will have a big rally giving US Dollar buyers a bit of a reprieve.

As always we will send out a currency alert shortly after the 10:00 am announcement.

Have a great day.
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0957 1.1014
CAD/USD 0.9126 0.9079
EUR/USD 1.3557 1.352
EUR/CAD 1.4857 1.4892
STG/CAD 1.8139 1.807
AUD/CAD 0.9722 0.9667
CAD/JPY 95.18 94.98
CAD/CHF 0.8305 0.8304
CAD/HKD 7.0574 7.0204
CAD/CNY 5.5174 5.4907
CAD/MXN 12.1374 12.1133
Commodities
Gold $1,241.00 $1,245.00
OIL $95.45 $94.59
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.09 81.35
OPEN 81.05 81.33
US 10YR YIELD 2.85% 2.85%

 

 

 

 

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