Wednesday 25 June 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0720-1.0770

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4600-1.4650

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8220-1.8270   

The US Dollar is marginally stronger in quiet overnight trading conditions. The Pound continues to give up some gains as investors are starting to think that the Pound was pushed too high on this past run. The Pound was also hit this morning by poorer than expected Retail Sales report, given the latest comments from the Bank of England it is more than likely that Sterling will trade with a weak bias over the short-term.

Given the current situation in Europe the Euro is fairing quite well at the moment hanging in around the 1.3600 level against the Greenback. I think it will eventually break lower but for now US Dollar weakness is giving it some support.

The Canadian Dollar gave back a little strength last night but still trades in a narrow band below the 1.0800 level. The Loonie was able to pick up some gains both against the Euro and Sterling so the currency continues to do well against those currencies.

We should have a busy morning as we get a slew of economic stats out of the US headlined by the GDP report for the 1st quarter. Given the relatively weak US data we have seen lately I am not surprised that the expectation for the GDP report is going to show a negative number. The expectation is for a drop in growth of -1.8% on an annualized basis so if it is greater than that we could see some fireworks. If we do get a big movement I will send out a currency alert.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0732 1.0726
CAD/USD 0.9318 0.9323
EUR/USD 1.3602 1.3627
EUR/CAD 1.4606 1.4611
STG/CAD 1.8222 1.8233
AUD/CAD 1.0057 1.0081
CAD/JPY 94.9 94.96
CAD/CHF 83.26 0.8327
CAD/HKD 7.1979 7.2057
CAD/CNY 5.8062 5.807
CAD/MXN 12.1489 12.1632
Commodities
Gold $1,313.90 $1,324.00
OIL $106.25
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.31 80.34
OPEN 80.4 80.22
US 10YR YIELD 2.58% 2.60%

 

 

 

 

 

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