Tuesday 17 June 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0840-1.0890

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4720-1.4770

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8420-1.8470

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as the UK inflation report dropped to its lowest rate in 4 ½ years today, this quickly dampened speculation of an imminent interest rate hike by the Bank of England. The Euro traded a little lower in a tight range in sympathy with the Pound in an overall quiet trading range. The Pound has recovered to pre-announcement levels early this morning so investors cannot be that worried that the BOE won’t raise interest rates soon, bets are on that they will be the first major Western economy to increase interest rates.

The Canadian Dollar is a little stronger this morning off of it weakest levels from yesterday but is still trading in relatively narrow trading ranges and not breaking any new ground, I think to get the market moving again we need either a clean break below 1.0800 or above 1.0950 but for the moment I see USD.CAD trading within this range.

Up today we get the US CPI index where we are expecting an inflation rate of 0.2% for the month of May and a year-over-year rate of 1.9%, a reading of close to 2.0% should keep the US Federal Reserve on track, reducing the amount of their stimulus program by the $10 billion a month. Unless we get a big surprise on the number USD.CAD will most likely continue to trade within the existing range.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0856 1.0867
CAD/USD 0.9211 0.9202
EUR/USD 1.3566 1.3541
EUR/CAD 1.4731 1.4717
STG/CAD 1.8492 1.8433
AUD/CAD 1.0161 1.0197
CAD/JPY 93.88 93.7
CAD/CHF 0.827 0.827
CAD/HKD 7.1181 7.1118
CAD/CNY 5.731 5.7262
CAD/MXN 12.0356 12.02
Commodities
Gold $1,266.00 $1,280.00
OIL $106.28 $107.00
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.45 80.65
OPEN 80.5 80.6
US 10YR YIELD 2.59% 2.58%

 

 
 

 

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