Tuesday 12 June 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary June 12th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0250-1.0350

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2830-1.2950

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5950-1.6075

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as the Euro was not able to hold onto the strength it picked up after the Spanish announcement. Investors are once again looking at this situation as jumping from crisis and not solving the bigger Europe wide problem. The Austrian Finance Minister came out and said that Italy may need a bail out which if course was quickly denied, this situation is a complete mess and will not be resolved for quite a while.

The Canadian Dollar gave back some of yesterday's strength but continues to trade in the 1.0200 to 1.0300 range, albeit we are near the top end of the range at the moment. Once again there is nothing on the Canadian agenda that will push the Loonie in one direction or another, the value of our currency will continue to be dictated by events outside our borders. I have noted with interest the level of rhetoric coming from Ottawa alerting us to a possible slowdown in Canada should Europe not get there house in order, that is quality leadership for you, no policy announcements just a good old fashioned warning.

With the lack of economic news out today I do not expect a busy day, once again if you need to do something sooner than later play the range, any US sales above 1.0300 should be considered good value and any purchases of USD below 1.0225 would be an excellent purchase today.

Have a great day
Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Tuesday June 12, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0272 1.0237
CAD/USD 0.9735 0.9768
EUR/USD 1.251 1.2564
EUR/CAD 1.2852 1.2863
STG/CAD 1.5957 1.5908
AUD/CAD 1.0189 1.0191
CAD/JPY 77.37 77.49
CAD/CHF 0.9338 0.9327
CAD/HKD 7.5482 7.5715
CAD/CNY 6.1987 6.2185
CAD/MXN 13.6833 13.5854
Commodities
Gold $1,592 $1,593
OIL $82.48 $84.94
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 13.90% 14.36%
1 Week 11.90% 12.05%
1 Month 10.50% 10.61%

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