Tuesday 19 June 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, June 19th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0180-1.0280

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2870-1.3000

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6020-1.6150

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning in very quiet trading conditions as EU comments on the Greek election have given the Euro a small boost of a boost. This morning an EU official said the Troika (EU, ECB and IMF) would be willing to meet the new Greek Government when it is formed to discuss any aid they can provide to the Greek economy. EURO.USD jumped above 1.2600 but any gains were again capped by Spain having to pay relatively high interest rates at their auction today. There are rumours this morning that a Greek collation is close to being a formed and that once formed a committee will be formed to re-negotiate  the terms of the bailout, such an announcement would be positive for the Euro, negative for the US Dollar

Sterling looks like it wants to get stronger as it is now almost certain that the Bank of England will provide more stimulus to their economy, the recession in Europe is indeed spilling over to the UK and that economy Is looking vulnerable again.

Nothing new to report on the Canadian front USD.CAD continues to trade in the 1.0200 to 1.0300 trading range in very lackluster markets. With no comments of substance coming from the G-20 the lack of economic activity could see us locked in this range for a while yet. If we get a  positive announcement today from Greece the I think you will see USD.CAD try and break below 1.0200


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Monday June 18, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0226 1.0247
CAD/USD 0.9777 0.9759
EUR/USD 1.2612 1.2625
EUR/CAD 1.2899 1.2939
STG/CAD 1.6025 1.6031
AUD/CAD 1.0379 1.0336
CAD/JPY 77.14 77.13
CAD/CHF 0.9306 0.9278
CAD/HKD 7.5829 7.5687
CAD/CNY 6.2146 6.2051
CAD/MXN 13.5856
Commodities
Gold $1,630.08 $1,621
OIL $83.14 $83.54
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 15.35% 15.98%
1 Week 10.68% 11.07%
1 Month 9.94% 10.07%

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