Monday 25 June 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, June 25th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0250-1.0350

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2840-1.2975

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5980-1.6100

The US Dollar is stronger to start the day, comments from billionaire hedge fund owner George Soros stating that failure of the EU Summit this week to solve the regions financial crisis will lead to a breakup of the Union has driven the Euro much lower. Movement on comments from such an private influential figure show just how nervous the Euro market is. The currency markets for the remainder of the week will be focused on the EU summit (June 28-29th) and also the Spanish and Italian bond auctions set for tomorrow, if these countries are forced to pay higher interest rates to borrow funds looks for the Euro to start trading lower again.

The Canadian dollar is still trading in the 1.0200 to 1.0300 range and with further weakness in the Euro, USD.CAD should push higher above the 1.0300 level this morning, the fact that North American equity markets will all be much lower today should also help push USD.CAD above the top end of the recent range.

Up today we get some housing numbers out of the USA but for the most part currency traders will get their direction from the equity markets and with it looking like a dismal day on Wall Street and Toronto, the US Dollar should remain bid all day.



Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Monday June 25, 2012
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.029 1.0274
CAD/USD 0.9718 0.9733
EUR/USD 1.2478 1.2551
EUR/CAD 1.2841 1.2898
STG/CAD 1.5998 1.6035
AUD/CAD 1.0281 1.0318
CAD/JPY 77.57 78.12
CAD/CHF 0.9347 0.9304
CAD/HKD 7.5341 7.5439
CAD/CNY 6.1808 6.1916
CAD/MXN 13.5356 13.4967
Commodities
Gold $1,568 $1,569
OIL $79.01 $78.63
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 11.74% 9.65%
1 Week 9.72% 10.17%
1 Month 9.40% 9.55%

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