Friday 29 June 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary, June 29th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0175-1.0275

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2850-1.2975

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5930-1.6050   

The US Dollar is considerably weaker this morning as finally some positive news from the most recent EU leader summit has pushed EURO.USD and equity markets much higher this morning.

EU leaders have changed the rules of the Spanish banking bail-out so the rescue funds can lend directly to Spanish banks without the Government taking on the massive debt, provisions for Italy should they need it were also made available. The financial markets seem to like this move and it would be have been very interesting to have been at the meeting, from everything I read French President Francois Hollande led a back door run around German Chancellor Merkel to get this proposal through the meeting, I get the feeling that France and Germany will not get along much over the next few years, I wonder if they all got together yesterday to watch the football game or went their separate ways.

With EURO.USD jumping back up to 1.2600 (largest single day gain this year) it will be interesting to see if the Euro can hold onto the momentum for an extended period of time.

As you would expect with the US Dollar much weaker the Loonie has jumped stronger this morning with USD.CAD falling back below the 1.0300 level. Yesterday saw the Loonie trade with a very weak bias and it caught us by surprise as the other commodity currencies held their strength against the USD. The Loonie has lost a little ground against the Euro and Sterling as their overnight strength have reduced the Lonnie’s buying power.

Remember to get you weekend orders in, given all that is going on in the world Monday (we are closed) the currency markets have the chance to be a very volatile so you want to make sure that you take advantage of the Canadian holiday.

I wish everyone a great Canada Day weekend, we sometimes take it for granted but we do live without a doubt in the best country in the world.

Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Friday June 29th, 2012
Currencies
7:00am Today's Opening
Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD
1.0236
1.0267
CAD/USD
0.9764
0.974
EUR/USD
1.2583
1.2429
EUR/CAD
1.2883
1.2764
STG/CAD
1.598
1.5964
AUD/CAD
1.0422
1.0331
CAD/JPY
77.62
77.24
CAD/CHF
0.9323
0.9403
CAD/HKD
7.5703
7.5488
CAD/CNY
6.2054
6.1889
CAD/MXN
13.1024
13.2733
Commodities
Gold
$1,572
$1,569
OIL
$80.13
$80.03
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N
9.89%
13.40%
1 Week
10.26%
9.13%
1 Month
9.64%
9.07%


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