Wednesday 6 February 2013

GFX Morning Commentary February 6th, 2013

Good Morning

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9940-1.0020

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3450-1.3525

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5600-1.5675

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as the Euro consolidates ahead of tomorrow's ECB interest rate announcement. Last night EURO.USD fell to a one-week low as acquisitions of corruption in the Spanish Government are thrown at Prime Minister Rajoy, Euro investors are still wary of the so called recovery and stand ready to sell the Euro at the sign of any bad news.

The Canadian Dollar had a very quiet night and USD.CAD is slightly higher that yesterday’s Toronto close, the Loonie is still managing to hold onto its strength from the move back below parity  on Friday.  With very little in economic data out today and currency markets setting up for the ECB and Bank of England interest rate announcements tomorrow once again I am not expecting much movement today, if USD.CAD does hit the high end of our expected range then US Dollar sellers should be ready with some orders, we will most likely be stuck in a narrow range.

This will be my last commentary until the week of the 18th, Mrs. Smith and I are heading out to Florida for a few days to visit friends and then we head out on a cruise for a week on Sunday. In my absence Rich will publish the commentary and if you need anything Randy and Mike will cover my desk. I would not expect the USD.CAD rate to be much different than it is today when I get back, if you do see USD.CAD back up towards 1.0050 then US Dollar sellers should look to put some orders in, we may get there on Friday if the Canada Employment report is poor. If you see USD.CAD drop towards .9900 US Dollar buys should get very active, you don't want to get hurt again by a move parity.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9974 0.9976
CAD/USD 1.002 1.0024
EUR/USD 1.3527 1.5454
EUR/CAD 1.3494 1.5709
STG/CAD 1.5621 1.5709
AUD/CAD 1.0286 1.0364
CAD/JPY 93.9 93.32
CAD/CHF 0.9155 0.9102
CAD/HKD 7.7527 7.7518
CAD/CNY 6.245 6.241
CAD/MXN
Commodities
Gold $1,668 $1,680
OIL $96.00 $96.90
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 8.00% 6.00%
1 Week 5.96% 6.50%
1 Month 5.80% 6.25%

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