Tuesday 5 February 2013

GFX Morning Commentary February 5th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9940-1.0025

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3500-1.3575

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5680-1.5750

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as the Euro has jumped higher on reports that the PMI services report (a report that measures activity in the service industry) was better than expected. I get a renewed sense that Euro-Land investors are incredibly nervous about their economy right now, they seem to be increasingly reacting to any news, negative or positive with great vigor, I don't think there is much consensus on where the economy is really going.

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its interest rate at 3.0% which I am sure will upset the Government but the Aussie dollar did fall as the statement from the RBA indicates that future rate cuts are very likely, another salvo in the currency war.

The Canadian Dollar is unchanged from yesterday's close after another quiet night on overseas markets. After settling in below par the Loonie spent yesterday gradually getting weaker as it once again became range bound.

Up today we have little in the way of economic releases, so I don’t look for a big trading range for USD.CAD, with equities looking like the will be higher today so I won’t be surprised if we see USD.CAD move back towards the .9950 level to start the day. Currency traders will start to get ready for the interest rate announcements on Thursday and the Canadian employment report on Friday.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9976 0.9955
CAD/USD 1.0024 1.0045
EUR/USD 1.5454 1.3566
EUR/CAD 1.5709 1.3507
STG/CAD 1.5709 1.5653
AUD/CAD 1.0364 1.0381
CAD/JPY 93.32 0.9556
CAD/CHF 0.9102 0.9149
CAD/HKD 7.7518 7.7676
CAD/CNY 6.241 6.2565
CAD/MXN 12.694
Commodities
Gold $1,680 $1,664
OIL $96.90 $96.83
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 6.00% 6.00%
1 Week 6.50% 6.50%
1 Month 6.25% 6.25%

No comments:

Post a Comment