Tuesday 17 September 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary September 17th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0280-1.0350

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3750-1.3825

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6400-1.6475

The US Dollar is marginally lower this morning as the Euro traded higher overnight on the improving German economy. The latest German ZEW report showed investor confidence in the German economy grew at a better rate that was expected. There are clear signs that Germany is starting to pull itself out of recession, good news which will probably help Merkel in next week’s general election.

The Canadian Dollar had a very quiet night as it traded in a narrow range, USD.CAD is basically right where we left it last night, the Loonie did give up small amounts of strength yesterday as USD.CAD popped up a bit. This goes to my point that any Canadian Dollar strength will be difficult and slow so US Dollar buyers need to be looking at some forward contracts at these levels.

Up today we get the US inflation report for August and unless inflation is doing anything crazy I don’t expect it to have much impact on the currency markets, the market will setup for tomorrow’s US Federal Reserve announcement on interest rates and be looking to see if the Fed starts to turn off the taps on the stimulus program. I look for USD.CAD to trade in a very tight range today with a bias for it to move slightly higher.

 

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0315 1.0297
CAD/USD 0.9694 0.9711
EUR/USD 1.336 1.3347
EUR/CAD 1.3782 1.3745
STG/CAD 1.6405 1.6402
AUD/CAD 0.9639 0.9654
CAD/JPY 96.06 96.01
CAD/CHF 0.8967 0.9001
CAD/HKD 7.5105 7.5249
CAD/CNY 5.9312 5.94
CAD/MXN 12.5692 12.5629
Commodities
Gold $1,319.00 $1,315.00
OIL $106.13 $106.85
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.43 81.68
OPEN 81.32 81.33
US 10YR YIELD 2.84% 2.81%
 

 

 

 

 

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