Tuesday 24 September 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary September 24th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0250-1.0330

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3850-1.3925

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6420-1.6500

The US Dollar as marginally stronger this morning in quiet overnight trading conditions. The Dollar is a bit stronger on some of the contradicting comments made yesterday by the different Federal Reserve committee members as they answered questions on when the pullback in stimulus will start. There are another two committee members speaking today so I look for more contradicting comments that will bring some upset to the markets. I think this nervousness from investors about the timing of any stimulus reduction is really weighing on the markets, it is like a runner awaiting the gun at a big race. As soon as the Fed announces stimulus reduction I think you will see the US Dollar take off, but for the time being the markets are hanging on any “official” comments to try and get the jump on when the taps will be turned off.

The Canadian Dollar is unchanged from our close last night, it is surprising that the Loonie did not give up any strength as both the Aussie and new Zealand Dollars were quite weak, this leads me to think that the Loonie could be quite vulnerable this morning. Up today we do get the Canadian Retail Sales report for July and we are expecting an increase of 0.5%, If this number disappoints then you could see the Loonie really weaken off with USD.CAD moving back towards 1.0325/.1.0350 level.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0294 1.03
CAD/USD 0.9714 0.9708
EUR/USD 1.3477 1.3508
EUR/CAD 1.3877 1.3916
STG/CAD 1.646 1.6528
AUD/CAD 0.9664 0.9703
CAD/JPY 95.96 96.24
CAD/CHF 0.8857 0.8858
CAD/HKD 7.525 7.5217
CAD/CNY 5.9423 6.09
CAD/MXN 12.5255 12.4948
Commodities
Gold $1,316.00 $1,322.00
OIL $103.17 $104.90
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.59 80.54
OPEN 80.69 80.51
US 10YR YIELD 2.69% 2.75%

 

 

 


 

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